Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on May 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 24?
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 Объем
$212,406 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 Объем
$212,406 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
43°F or below
$896 Объем
No
44-45°F
$1,775 Объем
No
46-47°F
$1,070 Объем
No
48-49°F
$1,759 Объем
No
50-51°F
$1,901 Объем
No
52-53°F
$23,337 Объем
No
54-55°F
$17,051 Объем
No
56-57°F
$18,621 Объем
Yes
58-59°F
$14,017 Объем
No
60-61°F
$12,068 Объем
No
62°F or higher
$119,911 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$212,406Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$212,406Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы