Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 Объем
$25,020 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 Объем
$25,020 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$698 Объем
No
22°C
$760 Объем
No
23°C
$708 Объем
No
24°C
$745 Объем
No
25°C
$3,595 Объем
No
26°C
$3,855 Объем
No
27°C
$1,197 Объем
No
28°C
$1,251 Объем
No
29°C
$2,762 Объем
No
30°C
$4,684 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$4,766 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Объем
$25,020Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,020Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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