Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 13 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 13 июля?
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$123,442 Объем
$123,442 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$123,442 Объем
$123,442 Объем
13 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$13,918 Объем
No
32°C
$21,672 Объем
No
33°C
$13,978 Объем
No
34°C
$10,902 Объем
No
35°C
$19,889 Объем
Yes
36°C
$19,029 Объем
No
37°C
$10,086 Объем
No
38°C
$6,565 Объем
No
39°C
$4,014 Объем
No
40°C
$2,916 Объем
No
41°C or higher
$474 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$123,442Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$123,442Дата окончания
13 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge sustaining above-normal warmth across northern France, with Paris afternoon maxima centered near 35–36 °C on July 13. Clear skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover favor strong insolation and modest boundary-layer mixing, while subtle differences in forecasted 850 hPa temperatures and dew-point depressions explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between 34 °C and 37 °C. Continued heatwave conditions following the June–early July episode reduce downside risk but leave room for minor cooling if a weak front arrives sooner than currently projected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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