**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 4?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 Объем
$157,939 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,939 Объем
$157,939 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
14°C or below
$4,261 Объем
No
15°C
$5,655 Объем
No
16°C
$18,514 Объем
No
17°C
$22,341 Объем
No
18°C
$24,534 Объем
Yes
19°C
$22,408 Объем
No
20°C
$26,222 Объем
No
21°C
$15,545 Объем
No
22°C
$8,619 Объем
No
23°C
$4,237 Объем
No
24°C or higher
$5,602 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$157,939Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$157,939Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official observations from Météo-France stations, including Paris-Montsouris, confirm the highest temperature in Paris on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome.** This measurement aligns with a sharp cooldown from prior days—26°C on May 2 and 21°C on May 3—amid heavy cloud cover, unstable atmospheric conditions, and reduced solar insolation typical of transitional spring weather patterns in Île-de-France. Model forecasts had anticipated modest highs around 18–20°C given persistent low-pressure influence, and verified hourly data shows no exceedance. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control or disputes over the primary station (e.g., Le Bourget vs. Montsouris), though such adjustments are infrequent for routine daily maxima; final archival reports expected soon will solidify resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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