Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 6?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 6?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$119,524 Объем
$119,524 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$119,524 Объем
$119,524 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
22°C or below
$32,001 Объем
No
23°C
$9,881 Объем
No
24°C
$39,688 Объем
No
25°C
$19,808 Объем
Yes
26°C
$7,123 Объем
No
27°C
$4,121 Объем
No
28°C
$2,225 Объем
No
29°C
$2,027 Объем
No
30°C
$1,562 Объем
No
31°C
$519 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$570 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Объем
$119,524Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$119,524Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of exactly 25°C in Qingdao on May 6, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD), where hourly METAR reports peaked at 25°C around midday before cooling to 19°C by late afternoon amid southerly winds and clear skies. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing model consensus for a 25°C high against May climatological norms of 20-22°C, influenced by warm air advection over the Shandong Peninsula. Scenarios challenging this include an improbable late-day solar heating surge exceeding 26°C before sunset, though declining insolation and evening onshore flow make higher readings unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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