Official observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 64-65°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the definitive recorded high per Weather Underground data used for resolution. Persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow under high pressure suppressed warming, aligning with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 63°F amid typical mid-April climatology, where SF averages 62-65°F highs. With the observation period closed, only an exceedingly rare data revision by NOAA—such as sensor malfunction verification—could challenge this positioning, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await final daily climate summary for closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 20?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 20?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$100,951 Объем
$100,951 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$100,951 Объем
$100,951 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
55°F or below
$1,808 Объем
No
56-57°F
$2,918 Объем
No
58-59°F
$5,609 Объем
No
60-61°F
$7,207 Объем
No
62-63°F
$8,196 Объем
No
64-65°F
$39,464 Объем
Yes
66-67°F
$8,719 Объем
No
68-69°F
$10,590 Объем
No
70-71°F
$9,010 Объем
No
72-73°F
$3,796 Объем
No
74°F or higher
$3,634 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 64-65°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the definitive recorded high per Weather Underground data used for resolution. Persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow under high pressure suppressed warming, aligning with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 63°F amid typical mid-April climatology, where SF averages 62-65°F highs. With the observation period closed, only an exceedingly rare data revision by NOAA—such as sensor malfunction verification—could challenge this positioning, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await final daily climate summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Объем
$100,951Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 64-65°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the definitive recorded high per Weather Underground data used for resolution. Persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow under high pressure suppressed warming, aligning with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 63°F amid typical mid-April climatology, where SF averages 62-65°F highs. With the observation period closed, only an exceedingly rare data revision by NOAA—such as sensor malfunction verification—could challenge this positioning, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await final daily climate summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$100,951Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) confirm the highest temperature on April 20 reached 64-65°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome as the definitive recorded high per Weather Underground data used for resolution. Persistent marine layer and cool onshore flow under high pressure suppressed warming, aligning with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 63°F amid typical mid-April climatology, where SF averages 62-65°F highs. With the observation period closed, only an exceedingly rare data revision by NOAA—such as sensor malfunction verification—could challenge this positioning, though historical precedents show such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records. Traders await final daily climate summary for closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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