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Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?

icon for Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?

74-75°F 100.0%

67°F or below <1%

68-69°F <1%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$60,517 Объем

74-75°F 100.0%

67°F or below <1%

68-69°F <1%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$60,517 Объем

67°F or below

$5,473 Объем

No

68-69°F

$5,907 Объем

No

70-71°F

$2,650 Объем

No

72-73°F

$6,042 Объем

No

74-75°F

$9,372 Объем

Yes

76-77°F

$8,085 Объем

No

78-79°F

$10,321 Объем

No

80-81°F

$7,410 Объем

No

82-83°F

$3,026 Объем

No

84-85°F

$1,280 Объем

No

86°F or higher

$952 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F on June 14, 2026, aligning with trader consensus. Persistent marine layer conditions, driven by strong onshore flow and widespread stratus clouds, moderated daytime heating along the immediate coast despite broader regional warming trends. This setup, common in June climatology, typically caps highs near or below seasonal averages around 68–72°F at coastal sites. Model guidance from the National Weather Service had pointed to limited inland penetration of warmer air, supporting the narrow range. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include a stronger offshore wind event eroding the marine layer earlier or a sharper ridge allowing greater solar insolation, potentially pushing readings several degrees higher.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$60,517
Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 74–75°F on June 14, 2026, aligning with trader consensus. Persistent marine layer conditions, driven by strong onshore flow and widespread stratus clouds, moderated daytime heating along the immediate coast despite broader regional warming trends. This setup, common in June climatology, typically caps highs near or below seasonal averages around 68–72°F at coastal sites. Model guidance from the National Weather Service had pointed to limited inland penetration of warmer air, supporting the narrow range. Scenarios that could have challenged the outcome include a stronger offshore wind event eroding the marine layer earlier or a sharper ridge allowing greater solar insolation, potentially pushing readings several degrees higher.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$60,517
Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «74-75°F» с 100%, за ним следует «67°F or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $60.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 12, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?» — «74-75°F» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «67°F or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.