Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 15 июля?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 Объем
$49,650 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$49,650 Объем
$49,650 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
75°F or below
$2,122 Объем
No
76-77°F
$668 Объем
No
78-79°F
$4,083 Объем
No
80-81°F
$17,399 Объем
No
82-83°F
$5,844 Объем
Yes
84-85°F
$7,799 Объем
No
86-87°F
$4,180 Объем
No
88-89°F
$2,284 Объем
No
90-91°F
$2,409 Объем
No
92-93°F
$2,000 Объем
No
94°F or higher
$862 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Объем
$49,650Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$49,650Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Latest forecast guidance from NWS and ensemble models points to mostly sunny conditions with light northerly flow limiting the typical marine layer, supporting trader consensus around 82–85°F as the likely peak on July 15. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on the precise timing and strength of any afternoon sea breeze off Puget Sound versus sustained offshore warming, along with minor variations in 500 mb heights and surface pressure gradients. Historical July normals near 77–79°F provide context, but recent model runs show a modest warm bias persisting through mid-month. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы