Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on July 18 indicate a high near 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. Model consensus from NOAA and others supports this range amid typical mid-July marine influences from Puget Sound, which can moderate peaks through onshore flow or afternoon sea breezes. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing, exact wind shifts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, creating the observed near-even split between adjacent bins. Historical July averages near 76°F provide context, while the close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty resolvable only by official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 18 июля?
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$58,059 Объем
$58,059 Объем
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$58,059 Объем
$58,059 Объем
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 16, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on July 18 indicate a high near 76°F under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–77°F. Model consensus from NOAA and others supports this range amid typical mid-July marine influences from Puget Sound, which can moderate peaks through onshore flow or afternoon sea breezes. Subtle differences in cloud cover timing, exact wind shifts, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two, creating the observed near-even split between adjacent bins. Historical July averages near 76°F provide context, while the close probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty resolvable only by official observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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