Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS now converge on a high temperature of 21–23°C for Seoul on April 18, driving the 76% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher amid a recent spring warming trend—April 16 recorded 27.3°C at official stations, well above the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C. Southerly winds and high pressure are expected to promote daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though light precipitation risks (20% per KMA) could cap peaks near 20°C, explaining the 14.5% odds there. Traders await final KMA updates by evening, as model runs often refine 24-hour outlooks based on evolving upper-air patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 18?
21°C or higher 79%
20°C 16%
19°C 3.5%
18°C 2.3%
НОВОЕ
$93,485 Объем
НОВОЕ
$93,485 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
79%
21°C or higher 79%
20°C 16%
19°C 3.5%
18°C 2.3%
НОВОЕ
$93,485 Объем
НОВОЕ
$93,485 Объем
18 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$10,093 Объем
<1%
12°C
$13,440 Объем
<1%
13°C
$10,566 Объем
<1%
14°C
$6,262 Объем
<1%
15°C
$4,531 Объем
<1%
16°C
$7,257 Объем
1%
17°C
$12,177 Объем
2%
18°C
$7,237 Объем
2%
19°C
$5,925 Объем
3%
20°C
$5,686 Объем
16%
21°C or higher
$10,470 Объем
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS now converge on a high temperature of 21–23°C for Seoul on April 18, driving the 76% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher amid a recent spring warming trend—April 16 recorded 27.3°C at official stations, well above the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C. Southerly winds and high pressure are expected to promote daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though light precipitation risks (20% per KMA) could cap peaks near 20°C, explaining the 14.5% odds there. Traders await final KMA updates by evening, as model runs often refine 24-hour outlooks based on evolving upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$93,485Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS now converge on a high temperature of 21–23°C for Seoul on April 18, driving the 76% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher amid a recent spring warming trend—April 16 recorded 27.3°C at official stations, well above the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C. Southerly winds and high pressure are expected to promote daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though light precipitation risks (20% per KMA) could cap peaks near 20°C, explaining the 14.5% odds there. Traders await final KMA updates by evening, as model runs often refine 24-hour outlooks based on evolving upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$93,485Дата окончания
18 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS now converge on a high temperature of 21–23°C for Seoul on April 18, driving the 76% market-implied probability for 21°C or higher amid a recent spring warming trend—April 16 recorded 27.3°C at official stations, well above the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C. Southerly winds and high pressure are expected to promote daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, though light precipitation risks (20% per KMA) could cap peaks near 20°C, explaining the 14.5% odds there. Traders await final KMA updates by evening, as model runs often refine 24-hour outlooks based on evolving upper-air patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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