Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on May 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 9?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$268,564 Объем
$268,564 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$268,564 Объем
$268,564 Объем
9 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$5,312 Объем
No
13°C
$5,391 Объем
No
14°C
$5,811 Объем
No
15°C
$5,030 Объем
No
16°C
$15,117 Объем
No
17°C
$23,863 Объем
No
18°C
$29,538 Объем
No
19°C
$31,368 Объем
No
20°C
$49,192 Объем
Yes
21°C
$42,213 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$55,729 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$268,564Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$268,564Дата окончания
9 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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