Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 27, 2026, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—recording a midday peak of 29°C amid overcast conditions and a frontal system capping solar heating and potential convective activity. China Meteorological Administration spot forecasts aligned precisely with this outcome, projecting 28-29°C highs under persistent cloud cover that suppressed stronger warming despite April's +2°C monthly mean temperature anomaly above the 15.7°C norm. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-day data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly reading, though evening cooling and consistent model outputs from NOAA analogs leave negligible room for shifts as final CMA reports finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 27?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$300,471 Объем
$300,471 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$300,471 Объем
$300,471 Объем
27 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$23,231 Объем
No
22°C
$10,322 Объем
No
23°C
$15,028 Объем
No
24°C
$23,641 Объем
No
25°C
$19,168 Объем
No
26°C
$17,935 Объем
No
27°C
$27,189 Объем
No
28°C
$46,997 Объем
No
29°C
$68,877 Объем
Yes
30°C
$28,152 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$19,930 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 27, 2026, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—recording a midday peak of 29°C amid overcast conditions and a frontal system capping solar heating and potential convective activity. China Meteorological Administration spot forecasts aligned precisely with this outcome, projecting 28-29°C highs under persistent cloud cover that suppressed stronger warming despite April's +2°C monthly mean temperature anomaly above the 15.7°C norm. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-day data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly reading, though evening cooling and consistent model outputs from NOAA analogs leave negligible room for shifts as final CMA reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Объем
$300,471Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 27, 2026, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—recording a midday peak of 29°C amid overcast conditions and a frontal system capping solar heating and potential convective activity. China Meteorological Administration spot forecasts aligned precisely with this outcome, projecting 28-29°C highs under persistent cloud cover that suppressed stronger warming despite April's +2°C monthly mean temperature anomaly above the 15.7°C norm. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-day data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly reading, though evening cooling and consistent model outputs from NOAA analogs leave negligible room for shifts as final CMA reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$300,471Дата окончания
27 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 25, 2026, 12:53 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C at 100% implied probability for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 27, 2026, driven by official observations from the Shanghai Pudong International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—recording a midday peak of 29°C amid overcast conditions and a frontal system capping solar heating and potential convective activity. China Meteorological Administration spot forecasts aligned precisely with this outcome, projecting 28-29°C highs under persistent cloud cover that suppressed stronger warming despite April's +2°C monthly mean temperature anomaly above the 15.7°C norm. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-day data revision uncovering an overlooked higher hourly reading, though evening cooling and consistent model outputs from NOAA analogs leave negligible room for shifts as final CMA reports finalize.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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