**Current forecasts position Shanghai's August 18 maximum near 31–33 °C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 31 °C (38.5 %), 32 °C (22.5 %), and 30 °C (22 %).** Official extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com projects a high of 91 °F (≈32.8 °C) under thundershowers and overcast skies, while broader August climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 30–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Recent model runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation, which limit surface heating and cap extremes. Earlier in the month, Shanghai recorded a 29 °C high on August 11, reflecting a slightly cooler pattern that appears to be giving way to the seasonal norm. East Asian monsoon influences, combined with typical late-summer steering flows, maintain this narrow temperature band, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus therefore clusters around the 30–32 °C bracket, reflecting both the latest numerical guidance and historical precedent while acknowledging residual uncertainty from evolving convective forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 18 августа?
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
22%
31°C
39%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$132 Объем
<1%
27°C
$18 Объем
1%
28°C
$115 Объем
2%
29°C
$13 Объем
9%
30°C
$70 Объем
22%
31°C
$77 Объем
39%
32°C
$36 Объем
23%
33°C
$50 Объем
6%
34°C
$9 Объем
3%
35°C
$12 Объем
1%
36°C or higher
$27 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position Shanghai's August 18 maximum near 31–33 °C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 31 °C (38.5 %), 32 °C (22.5 %), and 30 °C (22 %).** Official extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com projects a high of 91 °F (≈32.8 °C) under thundershowers and overcast skies, while broader August climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 30–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity.
Recent model runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation, which limit surface heating and cap extremes. Earlier in the month, Shanghai recorded a 29 °C high on August 11, reflecting a slightly cooler pattern that appears to be giving way to the seasonal norm. East Asian monsoon influences, combined with typical late-summer steering flows, maintain this narrow temperature band, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Trader consensus therefore clusters around the 30–32 °C bracket, reflecting both the latest numerical guidance and historical precedent while acknowledging residual uncertainty from evolving convective forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$559Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position Shanghai's August 18 maximum near 31–33 °C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 31 °C (38.5 %), 32 °C (22.5 %), and 30 °C (22 %).** Official extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com projects a high of 91 °F (≈32.8 °C) under thundershowers and overcast skies, while broader August climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 30–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity.
Recent model runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation, which limit surface heating and cap extremes. Earlier in the month, Shanghai recorded a 29 °C high on August 11, reflecting a slightly cooler pattern that appears to be giving way to the seasonal norm. East Asian monsoon influences, combined with typical late-summer steering flows, maintain this narrow temperature band, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Trader consensus therefore clusters around the 30–32 °C bracket, reflecting both the latest numerical guidance and historical precedent while acknowledging residual uncertainty from evolving convective forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$559Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position Shanghai's August 18 maximum near 31–33 °C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 31 °C (38.5 %), 32 °C (22.5 %), and 30 °C (22 %).** Official extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com projects a high of 91 °F (≈32.8 °C) under thundershowers and overcast skies, while broader August climatology shows typical daytime maxima of 30–32 °C amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Recent model runs emphasize persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation, which limit surface heating and cap extremes. Earlier in the month, Shanghai recorded a 29 °C high on August 11, reflecting a slightly cooler pattern that appears to be giving way to the seasonal norm. East Asian monsoon influences, combined with typical late-summer steering flows, maintain this narrow temperature band, though small shifts in timing or intensity of showers could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus therefore clusters around the 30–32 °C bracket, reflecting both the latest numerical guidance and historical precedent while acknowledging residual uncertainty from evolving convective forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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