Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 24?
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$138,135 Объем
$138,135 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$138,135 Объем
$138,135 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
21°C or below
$4,483 Объем
No
22°C
$8,250 Объем
No
23°C
$40,261 Объем
Yes
24°C
$22,515 Объем
No
25°C
$12,290 Объем
No
26°C
$12,460 Объем
No
27°C
$10,431 Объем
No
28°C
$8,751 Объем
No
29°C
$8,141 Объем
No
30°C
$4,781 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$5,772 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$138,135Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$138,135Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum of 23°C in Shanghai on May 24 under persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and limited solar heating, aligning with the market's near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome. These conditions stem from a moist, stable airmass suppressing typical May warming, where climatological highs average 24–25°C. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across updated model runs on this threshold, with minimal upside risk from rapid clearing or reduced precipitation. A late-day break in clouds or stronger insolation could still push readings to 24°C or higher before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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