Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a peak temperature of 29°C reached mid-day on April 21, aligning with China Meteorological Administration hourly data and pre-event forecasts from models anticipating partly cloudy skies, persistent southerly sea breezes, and high humidity that capped further warming. This trader consensus reflects late-April climatology in Shenzhen, where daily highs average 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions transitioning toward summer. With sunset near 18:45 local time and temperatures now declining, exceeding 29°C would require an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst or measurement revision in final reports, scenarios deemed negligible by current meteorological evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 21?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,435 Объем
$75,435 Объем
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,435 Объем
$75,435 Объем
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 19, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a peak temperature of 29°C reached mid-day on April 21, aligning with China Meteorological Administration hourly data and pre-event forecasts from models anticipating partly cloudy skies, persistent southerly sea breezes, and high humidity that capped further warming. This trader consensus reflects late-April climatology in Shenzhen, where daily highs average 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions transitioning toward summer. With sunset near 18:45 local time and temperatures now declining, exceeding 29°C would require an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst or measurement revision in final reports, scenarios deemed negligible by current meteorological evidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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