Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Объем
$71,401 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$71,401 Объем
$71,401 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$372 Объем
No
23°C
$735 Объем
No
24°C
$1,251 Объем
No
25°C
$2,687 Объем
No
26°C
$4,194 Объем
No
27°C
$8,994 Объем
No
28°C
$8,349 Объем
No
29°C
$5,547 Объем
No
30°C
$9,981 Объем
No
31°C
$17,011 Объем
Yes
32°C or higher
$12,281 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$71,401Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$71,401Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current atmospheric conditions and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum of 31°C at Shenzhen stations on June 15, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover allowing peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows June averages near this value, with recent model runs and real-time observations confirming no deviation toward higher extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this strong alignment between measurements and expectations. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-afternoon convective burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly exceeding the recorded peak, though such shifts remain improbable given converging data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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