Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 2?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,842 Объем
$126,842 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,842 Объем
$126,842 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$662 Объем
No
26°C
$612 Объем
No
27°C
$776 Объем
No
28°C
$1,866 Объем
No
29°C
$3,399 Объем
No
30°C
$3,903 Объем
No
31°C
$35,576 Объем
No
32°C
$43,112 Объем
No
33°C
$16,660 Объем
Yes
34°C
$8,931 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$11,344 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$126,842Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$126,842Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 31, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current meteorological forecasts from ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 33°C in Shenzhen on June 2 under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with southerly flow, high humidity, and scattered afternoon showers limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with climatological baselines of 31–32°C highs for the region, where moderate cloud cover and convective activity prevent significant deviations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 33°C reflects this model agreement and low upside risk for 34°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require unexpected reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation that allow greater surface heating, though latest guidance shows no such signals before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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