Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 23?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 23?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 Объем
$64,313 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$64,313 Объем
$64,313 Объем
23 мая 2026 г.
24°C or below
$473 Объем
No
25°C
$463 Объем
No
26°C
$681 Объем
No
27°C
$1,391 Объем
No
28°C
$3,099 Объем
No
29°C
$10,234 Объем
No
30°C
$7,892 Объем
No
31°C
$9,883 Объем
Yes
32°C
$9,545 Объем
No
33°C
$9,049 Объем
No
34°C or higher
$11,602 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Объем
$64,313Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$64,313Дата окончания
23 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 6:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models points to a daytime maximum of 31°C on May 23, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate southerly flow, and typical early-summer humidity that limits peak solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This aligns closely with mid-May climatology, where average highs range from 29–30°C amid rising monsoon influences. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome reflects these stable conditions and the low likelihood of brief clearing or reduced moisture that could push readings higher. Official resolution will depend on the recorded maximum at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport; any last-hour model shifts or localized variability remain the primary uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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