Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 7?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$85,756 Объем
$85,756 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$85,756 Объем
$85,756 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
$669 Объем
No
24°C
$989 Объем
No
25°C
$2,136 Объем
No
26°C
$8,232 Объем
No
27°C
$8,734 Объем
No
28°C
$6,558 Объем
No
29°C
$15,841 Объем
No
30°C
$15,406 Объем
Yes
31°C
$11,700 Объем
No
32°C
$8,506 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$6,986 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Объем
$85,756Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$85,756Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official hourly observations from the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm the day's highest temperature peaked at 30°C around midday, with subsequent readings falling to 27°C by evening amid partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 80%. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast model consensus from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, which predicted mild warming under typical early May subtropical conditions, where average highs hover near 29.5°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 30°C reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of quality-controlled data, leaving negligible upside risk. Realistic challenges include a rare post hoc data revision uncovering a brief 31°C spike or measurement anomaly, though standardized protocols minimize such occurrences; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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