Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 25 point to a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal rain, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 38% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtropical high-pressure influence and seasonal patterns typical for late September in the region support modest daytime heating without strong convective activity or monsoon surges. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns on this narrow range, with 31°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 11.5%. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential small shifts from cloud cover or wind variations ahead of the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 25 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 25 сентября?
32°C 38%
33°C 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
3%
28 °C
1%
29°C
16%
30°C
17%
31°C
21%
32°C
38%
33°C
28%
34°C
12%
35°C
9%
36°C
7%
37°C или выше
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 28%
31°C 21%
30°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$0 Объем
3%
28 °C
$60 Объем
1%
29°C
$0 Объем
16%
30°C
$15 Объем
17%
31°C
$5 Объем
21%
32°C
$226 Объем
38%
33°C
$340 Объем
28%
34°C
$5 Объем
12%
35°C
$0 Объем
9%
36°C
$0 Объем
7%
37°C или выше
$200 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 25 point to a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal rain, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 38% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtropical high-pressure influence and seasonal patterns typical for late September in the region support modest daytime heating without strong convective activity or monsoon surges. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns on this narrow range, with 31°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 11.5%. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential small shifts from cloud cover or wind variations ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$845Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 25 point to a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal rain, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 38% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtropical high-pressure influence and seasonal patterns typical for late September in the region support modest daytime heating without strong convective activity or monsoon surges. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns on this narrow range, with 31°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 11.5%. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential small shifts from cloud cover or wind variations ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$845Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on September 25 point to a high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal rain, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 38% and 25.5% implied probability. Subtropical high-pressure influence and seasonal patterns typical for late September in the region support modest daytime heating without strong convective activity or monsoon surges. Model consensus from multiple sources aligns on this narrow range, with 31°C and 34°C as secondary possibilities at 22.5% and 11.5%. Traders appear to weigh the reliability of short-range guidance against potential small shifts from cloud cover or wind variations ahead of the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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