Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 17 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 17 июля?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$124,544 Объем
$124,544 Объем
17 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$124,544 Объем
$124,544 Объем
17 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$864 Объем
No
26°C
$3,639 Объем
No
27°C
$7,839 Объем
No
28°C
$12,572 Объем
No
29°C
$21,406 Объем
No
30°C
$10,769 Объем
No
31°C
$17,639 Объем
No
32°C
$28,601 Объем
Yes
33°C
$12,984 Объем
No
34°C
$6,643 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$1,587 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$124,544Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$124,544Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official JMA forecasts for July 17 project a maximum near 32°C under partly to mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with the agency’s seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures across Japan. Trader consensus clustering around 29–31°C reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud development and scattered showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C through reduced solar insolation. Tokyo’s urban heat island effect and typical subtropical ridge positioning favor highs at or above the 30°C climatological normal, while any strengthening sea breeze or convective timing could cap the day at 29°C. Model spreads in short-range guidance and the narrow 2°C window between leading outcomes underscore the sensitivity of daily maxima to these mesoscale variables.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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