Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued late April 15, pegs Toronto's April 18 high at 18°C under cloudy skies with 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 27% implied probability while keeping 17–19°C tightly bunched amid model discrepancies like The Weather Network's cooler 15°C call. Key differentiators include cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential evaporative cooling from showers tied to an incoming low-pressure system, and variable frontal timing—scenarios with earlier clearing could push toward 20°C, while persistent rain caps at 15–16°C. This above-normal outlook (versus 12°C April norm) follows Thursday–Friday's 20°C warm-up, but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; overnight GFS and ECMWF updates may sharpen odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
18°C 28%
19°C 19%
17°C 18%
15°C 15%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
9%
17°C
18%
18°C
28%
19°C
19%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
8%
18°C 28%
19°C 19%
17°C 18%
15°C 15%
11°C or below
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
9%
17°C
18%
18°C
28%
19°C
19%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued late April 15, pegs Toronto's April 18 high at 18°C under cloudy skies with 60% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward that outcome at 27% implied probability while keeping 17–19°C tightly bunched amid model discrepancies like The Weather Network's cooler 15°C call. Key differentiators include cloud cover reducing solar insolation, potential evaporative cooling from showers tied to an incoming low-pressure system, and variable frontal timing—scenarios with earlier clearing could push toward 20°C, while persistent rain caps at 15–16°C. This above-normal outlook (versus 12°C April norm) follows Thursday–Friday's 20°C warm-up, but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; overnight GFS and ECMWF updates may sharpen odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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