Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 5°C (66.5% implied probability) at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the official resolution source—driven by Environment Canada hourly observations showing peak readings near 5°C early in the day amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Overcast skies from a lingering low-pressure system suppressed solar heating, keeping conditions below the early April climatological average high of about 10°C, with afternoon temperatures dipping to 3–4°C. Lower odds for 6°C or higher (19.5%) reflect model consensus limiting further intensification, while 4°C (17.9%) accounts for potential late-day data revisions. Final daily maximum from Environment Canada expected soon, resolving any measurement discrepancies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 2?
5°C 74%
4°C 14.5%
6°C or higher 11%
3°C <1%
$116,456 Объем
$116,456 Объем
2 апр. 2026 г.
3°C
<1%
4°C
14%
5°C
74%
6°C or higher
11%
5°C 74%
4°C 14.5%
6°C or higher 11%
3°C <1%
$116,456 Объем
$116,456 Объем
2 апр. 2026 г.
3°C
$21,998 Объем
<1%
4°C
$12,754 Объем
14%
5°C
$5,908 Объем
74%
6°C or higher
$15,278 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 5°C (66.5% implied probability) at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the official resolution source—driven by Environment Canada hourly observations showing peak readings near 5°C early in the day amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Overcast skies from a lingering low-pressure system suppressed solar heating, keeping conditions below the early April climatological average high of about 10°C, with afternoon temperatures dipping to 3–4°C. Lower odds for 6°C or higher (19.5%) reflect model consensus limiting further intensification, while 4°C (17.9%) accounts for potential late-day data revisions. Final daily maximum from Environment Canada expected soon, resolving any measurement discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Объем
$116,456Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 5°C (66.5% implied probability) at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the official resolution source—driven by Environment Canada hourly observations showing peak readings near 5°C early in the day amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Overcast skies from a lingering low-pressure system suppressed solar heating, keeping conditions below the early April climatological average high of about 10°C, with afternoon temperatures dipping to 3–4°C. Lower odds for 6°C or higher (19.5%) reflect model consensus limiting further intensification, while 4°C (17.9%) accounts for potential late-day data revisions. Final daily maximum from Environment Canada expected soon, resolving any measurement discrepancies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$116,456Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 5°C (66.5% implied probability) at Toronto Pearson International Airport—the official resolution source—driven by Environment Canada hourly observations showing peak readings near 5°C early in the day amid persistent cloud cover and light drizzle. Overcast skies from a lingering low-pressure system suppressed solar heating, keeping conditions below the early April climatological average high of about 10°C, with afternoon temperatures dipping to 3–4°C. Lower odds for 6°C or higher (19.5%) reflect model consensus limiting further intensification, while 4°C (17.9%) accounts for potential late-day data revisions. Final daily maximum from Environment Canada expected soon, resolving any measurement discrepancies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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