Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM EDT on April 2, projects a high of 7°C in Toronto on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of showers, reflecting a cooler trend over the past 24 hours driven by a deepening upper trough and persistent easterly winds channeling chilly air from Hudson Bay. This has elevated the market-implied probability for 7°C to 9 percent, yet traders price 12°C or higher at 35 percent leading, citing historical April highs averaging 11.7°C near Lake Ontario and ensemble spreads in GFS/ECMWF models showing potential for 10-12°C if ridging develops. Watch Canadian Meteorological Centre's evening update and tomorrow's 12Z runs for shifts in intensification or clearing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
12°C or higher 35%
11°C 19%
9°C 18%
8°C 14%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
9%
8°C
14%
9°C
18%
10°C
12%
11°C
19%
12°C or higher
35%
12°C or higher 35%
11°C 19%
9°C 18%
8°C 14%
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
9%
8°C
14%
9°C
18%
10°C
12%
11°C
19%
12°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM EDT on April 2, projects a high of 7°C in Toronto on April 5 under cloudy skies with a 30 percent chance of showers, reflecting a cooler trend over the past 24 hours driven by a deepening upper trough and persistent easterly winds channeling chilly air from Hudson Bay. This has elevated the market-implied probability for 7°C to 9 percent, yet traders price 12°C or higher at 35 percent leading, citing historical April highs averaging 11.7°C near Lake Ontario and ensemble spreads in GFS/ECMWF models showing potential for 10-12°C if ridging develops. Watch Canadian Meteorological Centre's evening update and tomorrow's 12Z runs for shifts in intensification or clearing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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