Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai Pudong International Airport high temperature of 22–24°C on April 6 under partly cloudy skies, explaining the tight race among these outcomes at market-implied probabilities around 20–24%. Current southerly airflow and recent highs reaching 23°C on April 2 support this warmer-than-early-April average outlook, though model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and coastal sea breeze effects that could cap peaks at 22°C or push toward 24°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new ensemble runs expected April 5 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution based on Wunderground observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 6?
23°C 24%
22°C 21%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$19,292 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,292 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
21%
23°C
24%
24°C
16%
25°C
13%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
6%
23°C 24%
22°C 21%
24°C 16%
25°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$19,292 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,292 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$3,670 Объем
1%
18°C
$1,012 Объем
2%
19°C
$976 Объем
1%
20°C
$1,132 Объем
3%
21°C
$1,671 Объем
9%
22°C
$1,462 Объем
21%
23°C
$1,357 Объем
24%
24°C
$2,258 Объем
16%
25°C
$799 Объем
13%
26°C
$1,488 Объем
8%
27°C or higher
$3,521 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai Pudong International Airport high temperature of 22–24°C on April 6 under partly cloudy skies, explaining the tight race among these outcomes at market-implied probabilities around 20–24%. Current southerly airflow and recent highs reaching 23°C on April 2 support this warmer-than-early-April average outlook, though model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and coastal sea breeze effects that could cap peaks at 22°C or push toward 24°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new ensemble runs expected April 5 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution based on Wunderground observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Объем
$19,292Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai Pudong International Airport high temperature of 22–24°C on April 6 under partly cloudy skies, explaining the tight race among these outcomes at market-implied probabilities around 20–24%. Current southerly airflow and recent highs reaching 23°C on April 2 support this warmer-than-early-April average outlook, though model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and coastal sea breeze effects that could cap peaks at 22°C or push toward 24°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new ensemble runs expected April 5 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution based on Wunderground observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,292Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, updated within the past 24 hours, drive trader consensus toward a Shanghai Pudong International Airport high temperature of 22–24°C on April 6 under partly cloudy skies, explaining the tight race among these outcomes at market-implied probabilities around 20–24%. Current southerly airflow and recent highs reaching 23°C on April 2 support this warmer-than-early-April average outlook, though model spreads reflect uncertainty from variable cloud cover and coastal sea breeze effects that could cap peaks at 22°C or push toward 24°C. China Meteorological Administration updates and new ensemble runs expected April 5 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution based on Wunderground observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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