Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, corroborated by AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on April 5 at around 24°C, reflecting a sharp rebound from rain-cooled highs near 16°C on April 3 amid southerly winds and reduced cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus hovers tightly between 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (22.5%) due to model spread over afternoon cloud buildup potentially capping peaks, alongside typical early-April variability where historical averages sit at 17–18°C but shortwave ridges often drive 2–5°C anomalies. New runs expected daily through April 4 could refine implied probabilities as surface observations confirm warming trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
25°C 15%
22°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$16,360 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,360 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
14%
23°C
22%
24°C
23%
25°C
15%
26°C
13%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 23%
23°C 22%
25°C 15%
22°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$16,360 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,360 Объем
5 апр. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$2,250 Объем
1%
19°C
$1,668 Объем
1%
20°C
$1,334 Объем
3%
21°C
$863 Объем
10%
22°C
$1,158 Объем
14%
23°C
$1,387 Объем
22%
24°C
$1,572 Объем
23%
25°C
$1,374 Объем
15%
26°C
$2,165 Объем
13%
27°C
$1,206 Объем
4%
28°C or higher
$1,442 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, corroborated by AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on April 5 at around 24°C, reflecting a sharp rebound from rain-cooled highs near 16°C on April 3 amid southerly winds and reduced cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus hovers tightly between 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (22.5%) due to model spread over afternoon cloud buildup potentially capping peaks, alongside typical early-April variability where historical averages sit at 17–18°C but shortwave ridges often drive 2–5°C anomalies. New runs expected daily through April 4 could refine implied probabilities as surface observations confirm warming trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$16,360Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, corroborated by AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on April 5 at around 24°C, reflecting a sharp rebound from rain-cooled highs near 16°C on April 3 amid southerly winds and reduced cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus hovers tightly between 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (22.5%) due to model spread over afternoon cloud buildup potentially capping peaks, alongside typical early-April variability where historical averages sit at 17–18°C but shortwave ridges often drive 2–5°C anomalies. New runs expected daily through April 4 could refine implied probabilities as surface observations confirm warming trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$16,360Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, corroborated by AccuWeather and China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on April 5 at around 24°C, reflecting a sharp rebound from rain-cooled highs near 16°C on April 3 amid southerly winds and reduced cloud cover early in the day. Trader consensus hovers tightly between 23°C (23.5%) and 24°C (22.5%) due to model spread over afternoon cloud buildup potentially capping peaks, alongside typical early-April variability where historical averages sit at 17–18°C but shortwave ridges often drive 2–5°C anomalies. New runs expected daily through April 4 could refine implied probabilities as surface observations confirm warming trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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