Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 2, reflecting preliminary official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, the market's resolving authority. Hourly data and real-time reports captured a midday peak aligning precisely with this bin, under partly cloudy conditions with light winds from a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil. Numerical weather prediction models from NOAA (GFS) and ECMWF ensembles had forecasted highs of 28-30°C just prior, consistent with early autumn climatology where averages hover around 25-27°C but allow for 2-3°C anomalies from subtropical moisture. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions by INMET, such as unlogged sensor recalibrations, with final validation reports due shortly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 2 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 2 апреля?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$88,687 Объем
$88,687 Объем
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$88,687 Объем
$88,687 Объем
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 29°C in São Paulo on April 2, reflecting preliminary official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station, the market's resolving authority. Hourly data and real-time reports captured a midday peak aligning precisely with this bin, under partly cloudy conditions with light winds from a persistent high-pressure ridge over southeastern Brazil. Numerical weather prediction models from NOAA (GFS) and ECMWF ensembles had forecasted highs of 28-30°C just prior, consistent with early autumn climatology where averages hover around 25-27°C but allow for 2-3°C anomalies from subtropical moisture. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions by INMET, such as unlogged sensor recalibrations, with final validation reports due shortly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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