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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?

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70-71°F 25%

68-69°F 15%

74-75°F 15%

72-73°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

70-71°F 25%

68-69°F 15%

74-75°F 15%

72-73°F 11%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

59°F or below

$520 Объем

1%

60-61°F

$973 Объем

1%

62-63°F

$327 Объем

1%

64-65°F

$330 Объем

4%

66-67°F

$177 Объем

8%

68-69°F

$462 Объем

15%

70-71°F

$274 Объем

25%

72-73°F

$1,249 Объем

11%

74-75°F

$378 Объем

15%

76-77°F

$210 Объем

8%

78°F or higher

$2,026 Объем

9%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 70-71°F as the leading outcome at 25% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble model runs from NOAA indicating daytime highs near 71°F amid persistent moderate onshore flow and partial marine layer cover that caps warming potential. High uncertainty stems from model disagreements on stratus cloud dissipation timing—earlier clearing could push toward 74-75°F (14.5%), while prolonged overcast favors 68-69°F (14.5%)—against a climatological April baseline of 72°F. Absent Santa Ana winds or ridge strengthening, extremes like 78°F+ (9.4%) remain unlikely; watch evening GFS/ECMWF updates and Saturday observations for shifts ahead of Sunday resolution using official LAX measurements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,704
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 70-71°F as the leading outcome at 25% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast guidance and ensemble model runs from NOAA indicating daytime highs near 71°F amid persistent moderate onshore flow and partial marine layer cover that caps warming potential. High uncertainty stems from model disagreements on stratus cloud dissipation timing—earlier clearing could push toward 74-75°F (14.5%), while prolonged overcast favors 68-69°F (14.5%)—against a climatological April baseline of 72°F. Absent Santa Ana winds or ridge strengthening, extremes like 78°F+ (9.4%) remain unlikely; watch evening GFS/ECMWF updates and Saturday observations for shifts ahead of Sunday resolution using official LAX measurements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,704
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:17 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «70-71°F» с 25%, за ним следует «68-69°F» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 25¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?» — «70-71°F» с 25%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Следующий ближайший исход — «68-69°F» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 6?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.