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Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?

68-69°F 22%

74-75°F 17%

70-71°F 16%

66-67°F 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

68-69°F 22%

74-75°F 17%

70-71°F 16%

66-67°F 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

63°F or below

$0 Объем

11%

64-65°F

$0 Объем

5%

66-67°F

$0 Объем

12%

68-69°F

$45 Объем

20%

70-71°F

$0 Объем

16%

72-73°F

$40 Объем

8%

74-75°F

$5 Объем

17%

76-77°F

$0 Объем

7%

78-79°F

$213 Объем

11%

80-81°F

$212 Объем

1%

82°F or higher

$217 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, driven by divergent model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF on the strength of incoming Santa Ana winds and marine layer persistence. Recent light showers on April 1-2 cleared to sunny conditions with highs near 70°F, but offshore Santa Ana gusts ramping up to 45-60 mph from Friday could enhance subsidence warming and sky clearing, favoring 74-75°F (26.5%) or hotter outcomes above 82°F (25.5%) if winds dominate. Persistent coastal stratus or a weak trough return supports cooler bets like 63°F or below (25.5%), amid ENSO-neutral transition reducing typical La Niña suppression. Watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for shifts before resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$733
Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 7, driven by divergent model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF on the strength of incoming Santa Ana winds and marine layer persistence. Recent light showers on April 1-2 cleared to sunny conditions with highs near 70°F, but offshore Santa Ana gusts ramping up to 45-60 mph from Friday could enhance subsidence warming and sky clearing, favoring 74-75°F (26.5%) or hotter outcomes above 82°F (25.5%) if winds dominate. Persistent coastal stratus or a weak trough return supports cooler bets like 63°F or below (25.5%), amid ENSO-neutral transition reducing typical La Niña suppression. Watch daily NWS updates and 12z model runs for shifts before resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$733
Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 6:22 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «68-69°F» с 20%, за ним следует «74-75°F» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 20¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?» — «68-69°F» с 20%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 20%. Следующий ближайший исход — «74-75°F» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 7?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.