Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 27.5% implied probability for a 74-75°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 3, slightly ahead of 72-73°F at 22%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for highs near 72°F amid sunny conditions and northeast winds up to 30-35 mph gusts under a High Wind Watch. Recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show a 68-76°F spread, driven by offshore flow promoting subsidence warming and marine layer erosion, but with uncertainty in stratus burn-off timing—persistent clouds could cap peaks at 72°F, while early clearance allows 75°F via enhanced solar insolation. Above-normal March temperatures set a warmer baseline, though coastal LAX exposure tempers extremes; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined hourly forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 21.0%
70-71°F 12%
$42,962 Объем
$42,962 Объем
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
21%
78°F or higher
4%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 28%
76-77°F 21.0%
70-71°F 12%
$42,962 Объем
$42,962 Объем
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
21%
78°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 27.5% implied probability for a 74-75°F high at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 3, slightly ahead of 72-73°F at 22%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for highs near 72°F amid sunny conditions and northeast winds up to 30-35 mph gusts under a High Wind Watch. Recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles show a 68-76°F spread, driven by offshore flow promoting subsidence warming and marine layer erosion, but with uncertainty in stratus burn-off timing—persistent clouds could cap peaks at 72°F, while early clearance allows 75°F via enhanced solar insolation. Above-normal March temperatures set a warmer baseline, though coastal LAX exposure tempers extremes; watch afternoon NWS updates for refined hourly forecasts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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