Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 4?
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
2%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
25%
38°C or higher
2%
29°C 26%
30°C 26%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 апр. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$0 Объем
2%
29°C
$0 Объем
26%
30°C
$0 Объем
26%
31°C
$0 Объем
26%
32°C
$0 Объем
26%
33°C
$0 Объем
26%
34°C
$0 Объем
26%
35°C
$0 Объем
26%
36°C
$0 Объем
26%
37°C
$170 Объем
25%
38°C or higher
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Объем
$170Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$170Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% for 34°C, 36°C, and 38°C or higher amid an early dry season transition. BMKG's latest forecast, updated April 2, predicts light rain across all districts—Jakarta Pusat, Selatan, Timur, Barat, Utara, and Kepulauan Seribu—with maximums of 29–30°C, capping solar heating under overcast skies and high humidity (72–98%). This tempers bets after March's record 35.6°C spikes from minimal cloud cover, but differentiates higher outcomes via potential clearing, urban heat island amplification in concrete-dense areas, and weak sea breezes limiting cooling. New BMKG updates today and official station measurements (e.g., Kemayoran) will sharpen resolution amid model divergences.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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