Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 8, with KNMI's latest guidance (issued April 2) projecting 15-20°C maxima under partly sunny skies with light showers and westerly winds at force 3, following warmer trends earlier in the week. This mild Atlantic air advection favors outcomes around 15°C or higher, but ensemble spreads in ECMWF and HARMONIE models highlight risks of cooler cloudier conditions if low pressure lingers over the North Sea, reducing insolation and capping highs near 10-13°C climatological norms for early April. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation timing; daily updates from KNMI and global models tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears at Schiphol Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 8?
5°C or below 26%
6°C 26%
7°C 26%
8°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
5°C or below
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C or higher
26%
5°C or below 26%
6°C 26%
7°C 26%
8°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 апр. 2026 г.
5°C or below
$6 Объем
26%
6°C
$0 Объем
26%
7°C
$0 Объем
26%
8°C
$0 Объем
26%
9°C
$0 Объем
26%
10°C
$0 Объем
26%
11°C
$0 Объем
26%
12°C
$0 Объем
26%
13°C
$0 Объем
26%
14°C
$0 Объем
26%
15°C or higher
$0 Объем
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 8, with KNMI's latest guidance (issued April 2) projecting 15-20°C maxima under partly sunny skies with light showers and westerly winds at force 3, following warmer trends earlier in the week. This mild Atlantic air advection favors outcomes around 15°C or higher, but ensemble spreads in ECMWF and HARMONIE models highlight risks of cooler cloudier conditions if low pressure lingers over the North Sea, reducing insolation and capping highs near 10-13°C climatological norms for early April. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation timing; daily updates from KNMI and global models tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears at Schiphol Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
Объем
$6Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 9:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 8, with KNMI's latest guidance (issued April 2) projecting 15-20°C maxima under partly sunny skies with light showers and westerly winds at force 3, following warmer trends earlier in the week. This mild Atlantic air advection favors outcomes around 15°C or higher, but ensemble spreads in ECMWF and HARMONIE models highlight risks of cooler cloudier conditions if low pressure lingers over the North Sea, reducing insolation and capping highs near 10-13°C climatological norms for early April. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation timing; daily updates from KNMI and global models tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears at Schiphol Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6Дата окончания
8 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 9:44 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 8, with KNMI's latest guidance (issued April 2) projecting 15-20°C maxima under partly sunny skies with light showers and westerly winds at force 3, following warmer trends earlier in the week. This mild Atlantic air advection favors outcomes around 15°C or higher, but ensemble spreads in ECMWF and HARMONIE models highlight risks of cooler cloudier conditions if low pressure lingers over the North Sea, reducing insolation and capping highs near 10-13°C climatological norms for early April. Key differentiators include jet stream positioning and precipitation timing; daily updates from KNMI and global models tomorrow could sharpen probabilities as resolution nears at Schiphol Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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