Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 58% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 37%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather (83°F or 28°C peak) and timeanddate.com (85°F or 29°C), amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 12-17 mph, and high humidity near 90% fostering warm RealFeel temperatures up to 91°F. Current morning observations show air temperatures already reaching 74-79°F (23-26°C) under mostly cloudy conditions with a 35-49% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 30°C. Shenzhen's subtropical climate typically sees early April highs averaging 26°C, but warm moist air inflows have elevated model consensus above climatology; real-time station data from the China Meteorological Administration will finalize resolution as the day progresses toward sunset around 18:40 local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
28°C 67%
29°C 29%
30°C or higher 4.6%
25°C <1%
$101,286 Объем
$101,286 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
25°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
67%
29°C
29%
30°C or higher
5%
28°C 67%
29°C 29%
30°C or higher 4.6%
25°C <1%
$101,286 Объем
$101,286 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
25°C
$6,733 Объем
<1%
27°C
$31,340 Объем
<1%
28°C
$3,834 Объем
67%
29°C
$4,690 Объем
29%
30°C or higher
$14,622 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 58% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 37%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather (83°F or 28°C peak) and timeanddate.com (85°F or 29°C), amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 12-17 mph, and high humidity near 90% fostering warm RealFeel temperatures up to 91°F. Current morning observations show air temperatures already reaching 74-79°F (23-26°C) under mostly cloudy conditions with a 35-49% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 30°C. Shenzhen's subtropical climate typically sees early April highs averaging 26°C, but warm moist air inflows have elevated model consensus above climatology; real-time station data from the China Meteorological Administration will finalize resolution as the day progresses toward sunset around 18:40 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$101,286Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 58% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 37%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather (83°F or 28°C peak) and timeanddate.com (85°F or 29°C), amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 12-17 mph, and high humidity near 90% fostering warm RealFeel temperatures up to 91°F. Current morning observations show air temperatures already reaching 74-79°F (23-26°C) under mostly cloudy conditions with a 35-49% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 30°C. Shenzhen's subtropical climate typically sees early April highs averaging 26°C, but warm moist air inflows have elevated model consensus above climatology; real-time station data from the China Meteorological Administration will finalize resolution as the day progresses toward sunset around 18:40 local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$101,286Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 28°C high in Shenzhen at 58% implied probability, with 29°C close behind at 37%, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from AccuWeather (83°F or 28°C peak) and timeanddate.com (85°F or 29°C), amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 12-17 mph, and high humidity near 90% fostering warm RealFeel temperatures up to 91°F. Current morning observations show air temperatures already reaching 74-79°F (23-26°C) under mostly cloudy conditions with a 35-49% chance of afternoon showers that could cap peaks below 30°C. Shenzhen's subtropical climate typically sees early April highs averaging 26°C, but warm moist air inflows have elevated model consensus above climatology; real-time station data from the China Meteorological Administration will finalize resolution as the day progresses toward sunset around 18:40 local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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