Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 31%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
31%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 31%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$919 Объем
<1%
21°C
$892 Объем
1%
22°C
$659 Объем
1%
23°C
$494 Объем
2%
24°C
$250 Объем
5%
25°C
$306 Объем
10%
26°C
$318 Объем
23%
27°C
$355 Объем
31%
28°C
$332 Объем
24%
29°C
$302 Объем
14%
30°C or higher
$460 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
Объем
$5,153Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,153Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 26–28°C for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5, mirroring early-April climatological norms in the city's humid subtropical monsoon climate, where daily maximums typically rise from 24–25°C to 26–27°C amid increasing solar insolation and occasional sea breezes. Recent observational data from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution station—shows late-March highs near 27°C, sustaining mild warmth into early April without extreme anomalies, while forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration indicate low confidence in exact peaks due to variable cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat island effects that could nudge outcomes up or down by 1–2°C. Watch for daily forecast updates through April 4, as ensemble model runs refine intensity amid typical springtime instability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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