Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 34% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 6 to reach 72-73°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts showing post-cold front cooling after widespread showers and thunderstorms expected Saturday. A strong frontal boundary approaching from the west will usher in cooler, drier air masses, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s amid lingering clouds and north-northeasterly winds. Uncertainty stems from frontal timing—earlier passage favors 68-71°F outcomes (combined ~46%), while delays could push toward 74-75°F (13%); extremes like 65°F or below (1.8%) or 84°F+ (0.9%) remain unlikely given climatological norms around 78°F. Watch NWS updates and new model runs Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on April 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 6?
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 20%
74-75°F 14.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 20%
74-75°F 14.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
65°F or below
$243 Объем
2%
66-67°F
$130 Объем
8%
68-69°F
$303 Объем
20%
70-71°F
$737 Объем
25%
72-73°F
$458 Объем
37%
74-75°F
$190 Объем
14%
76-77°F
$225 Объем
6%
78-79°F
$167 Объем
2%
80-81°F
$402 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$371 Объем
<1%
84°F or higher
$504 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 34% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 6 to reach 72-73°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts showing post-cold front cooling after widespread showers and thunderstorms expected Saturday. A strong frontal boundary approaching from the west will usher in cooler, drier air masses, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s amid lingering clouds and north-northeasterly winds. Uncertainty stems from frontal timing—earlier passage favors 68-71°F outcomes (combined ~46%), while delays could push toward 74-75°F (13%); extremes like 65°F or below (1.8%) or 84°F+ (0.9%) remain unlikely given climatological norms around 78°F. Watch NWS updates and new model runs Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
Объем
$3,731Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 34% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 6 to reach 72-73°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts showing post-cold front cooling after widespread showers and thunderstorms expected Saturday. A strong frontal boundary approaching from the west will usher in cooler, drier air masses, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s amid lingering clouds and north-northeasterly winds. Uncertainty stems from frontal timing—earlier passage favors 68-71°F outcomes (combined ~46%), while delays could push toward 74-75°F (13%); extremes like 65°F or below (1.8%) or 84°F+ (0.9%) remain unlikely given climatological norms around 78°F. Watch NWS updates and new model runs Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$3,731Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 34% probability for Houston's highest temperature on April 6 to reach 72-73°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts showing post-cold front cooling after widespread showers and thunderstorms expected Saturday. A strong frontal boundary approaching from the west will usher in cooler, drier air masses, with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 70s amid lingering clouds and north-northeasterly winds. Uncertainty stems from frontal timing—earlier passage favors 68-71°F outcomes (combined ~46%), while delays could push toward 74-75°F (13%); extremes like 65°F or below (1.8%) or 84°F+ (0.9%) remain unlikely given climatological norms around 78°F. Watch NWS updates and new model runs Sunday for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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