Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (38.5%) and 54-55°F (33.5%) for Denver's April 3 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid sunny skies but gusty northwest winds of 15-30 mph. These breezy conditions enhance boundary layer mixing, capping surface heating despite ample solar insolation and 850 mb temperatures around 5-7°C following yesterday's 70°F warm-up after record-hot March. Differentiating factors include wind gust timing, minor afternoon cloud development, and urban heat island effects at official measurement sites like Denver International Airport; lower outcomes gain if mixing intensifies, while slight downslope flow could nudge toward 55°F. Monitor hourly observations through afternoon peak, with NWS climate summary post-resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Denver on April 3?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 3?
52-53°F 37%
54-55°F 34%
50-51°F 15%
56-57°F 6%
$37,356 Объем
$37,356 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
49°F or below
2%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
37%
54-55°F
34%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 37%
54-55°F 34%
50-51°F 15%
56-57°F 6%
$37,356 Объем
$37,356 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
49°F or below
$4,880 Объем
2%
50-51°F
$1,466 Объем
15%
52-53°F
$2,165 Объем
37%
54-55°F
$2,869 Объем
34%
56-57°F
$1,902 Объем
6%
58-59°F
$2,818 Объем
4%
60-61°F
$2,499 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$1,303 Объем
1%
64-65°F
$1,738 Объем
1%
66-67°F
$4,139 Объем
<1%
68°F or higher
$11,681 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (38.5%) and 54-55°F (33.5%) for Denver's April 3 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid sunny skies but gusty northwest winds of 15-30 mph. These breezy conditions enhance boundary layer mixing, capping surface heating despite ample solar insolation and 850 mb temperatures around 5-7°C following yesterday's 70°F warm-up after record-hot March. Differentiating factors include wind gust timing, minor afternoon cloud development, and urban heat island effects at official measurement sites like Denver International Airport; lower outcomes gain if mixing intensifies, while slight downslope flow could nudge toward 55°F. Monitor hourly observations through afternoon peak, with NWS climate summary post-resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Объем
$37,356Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (38.5%) and 54-55°F (33.5%) for Denver's April 3 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid sunny skies but gusty northwest winds of 15-30 mph. These breezy conditions enhance boundary layer mixing, capping surface heating despite ample solar insolation and 850 mb temperatures around 5-7°C following yesterday's 70°F warm-up after record-hot March. Differentiating factors include wind gust timing, minor afternoon cloud development, and urban heat island effects at official measurement sites like Denver International Airport; lower outcomes gain if mixing intensifies, while slight downslope flow could nudge toward 55°F. Monitor hourly observations through afternoon peak, with NWS climate summary post-resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$37,356Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 52-53°F (38.5%) and 54-55°F (33.5%) for Denver's April 3 high temperature, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and NOAA ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in the low-to-mid 50s amid sunny skies but gusty northwest winds of 15-30 mph. These breezy conditions enhance boundary layer mixing, capping surface heating despite ample solar insolation and 850 mb temperatures around 5-7°C following yesterday's 70°F warm-up after record-hot March. Differentiating factors include wind gust timing, minor afternoon cloud development, and urban heat island effects at official measurement sites like Denver International Airport; lower outcomes gain if mixing intensifies, while slight downslope flow could nudge toward 55°F. Monitor hourly observations through afternoon peak, with NWS climate summary post-resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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