Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 25°C (78% implied probability) for Chengdu on April 3, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international services like Weather.com and TimeandDate.com, which project daily peaks of 25-26°C under persistent overcast skies. Yesterday's light rain has given way to cloudy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, suppressing solar heating and aligning with observed current temperatures around 25°C midday; this caps intensification potential despite early spring warming trends above the typical April average of 20-22°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with brief cloud breaks potentially pushing toward 26°C, while official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station will determine resolution by evening. Hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader positioning as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 3?
25°C 79%
26°C 22%
27°C 2.5%
29°C <1%
$67,338 Объем
$67,338 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
79%
26°C
22%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 79%
26°C 22%
27°C 2.5%
29°C <1%
$67,338 Объем
$67,338 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$4,588 Объем
<1%
23°C
$9,607 Объем
<1%
24°C
$13,719 Объем
<1%
25°C
$6,814 Объем
79%
26°C
$4,230 Объем
22%
27°C
$4,385 Объем
3%
28°C
$3,213 Объем
1%
29°C
$3,187 Объем
1%
30°C or higher
$3,941 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 25°C (78% implied probability) for Chengdu on April 3, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international services like Weather.com and TimeandDate.com, which project daily peaks of 25-26°C under persistent overcast skies. Yesterday's light rain has given way to cloudy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, suppressing solar heating and aligning with observed current temperatures around 25°C midday; this caps intensification potential despite early spring warming trends above the typical April average of 20-22°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with brief cloud breaks potentially pushing toward 26°C, while official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station will determine resolution by evening. Hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader positioning as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Объем
$67,338Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 25°C (78% implied probability) for Chengdu on April 3, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international services like Weather.com and TimeandDate.com, which project daily peaks of 25-26°C under persistent overcast skies. Yesterday's light rain has given way to cloudy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, suppressing solar heating and aligning with observed current temperatures around 25°C midday; this caps intensification potential despite early spring warming trends above the typical April average of 20-22°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with brief cloud breaks potentially pushing toward 26°C, while official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station will determine resolution by evening. Hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader positioning as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$67,338Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:13 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a highest temperature of 25°C (78% implied probability) for Chengdu on April 3, driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international services like Weather.com and TimeandDate.com, which project daily peaks of 25-26°C under persistent overcast skies. Yesterday's light rain has given way to cloudy conditions in the Sichuan Basin, suppressing solar heating and aligning with observed current temperatures around 25°C midday; this caps intensification potential despite early spring warming trends above the typical April average of 20-22°C. Inherent forecast uncertainty remains, with brief cloud breaks potentially pushing toward 26°C, while official measurements at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station will determine resolution by evening. Hourly updates from monitoring agencies could refine trader positioning as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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