Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside commercial outlooks such as AccuWeather (28°C high) and Time and Date (27°C), show Chengdu's April 5 peak temperature clustering tightly around 26–28°C at Shuangliu International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (28.5% implied probability) and 27°C (29.5%). This reflects a warming trend from southerly winds advecting subtropical air into the Sichuan Basin amid spring conditions warmer than the early-April historical average of 22–24°C, tempered by overcast skies potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover extent and timing of maximum heating, with 5% rain chances introducing minor variability. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs expected April 4 could refine the razor-thin 26–27°C split before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 5?
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C
28%
27°C
29%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
4%
27°C 29%
26°C 28%
28°C 18%
25°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$1,013 Объем
<1%
21°C
$1,371 Объем
1%
22°C
$200 Объем
2%
23°C
$393 Объем
5%
24°C
$204 Объем
12%
25°C
$147 Объем
12%
26°C
$215 Объем
28%
27°C
$186 Объем
29%
28°C
$172 Объем
18%
29°C
$272 Объем
8%
30°C or higher
$487 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside commercial outlooks such as AccuWeather (28°C high) and Time and Date (27°C), show Chengdu's April 5 peak temperature clustering tightly around 26–28°C at Shuangliu International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (28.5% implied probability) and 27°C (29.5%). This reflects a warming trend from southerly winds advecting subtropical air into the Sichuan Basin amid spring conditions warmer than the early-April historical average of 22–24°C, tempered by overcast skies potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover extent and timing of maximum heating, with 5% rain chances introducing minor variability. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs expected April 4 could refine the razor-thin 26–27°C split before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Объем
$4,661Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside commercial outlooks such as AccuWeather (28°C high) and Time and Date (27°C), show Chengdu's April 5 peak temperature clustering tightly around 26–28°C at Shuangliu International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (28.5% implied probability) and 27°C (29.5%). This reflects a warming trend from southerly winds advecting subtropical air into the Sichuan Basin amid spring conditions warmer than the early-April historical average of 22–24°C, tempered by overcast skies potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover extent and timing of maximum heating, with 5% rain chances introducing minor variability. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs expected April 4 could refine the razor-thin 26–27°C split before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,661Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:21 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, alongside commercial outlooks such as AccuWeather (28°C high) and Time and Date (27°C), show Chengdu's April 5 peak temperature clustering tightly around 26–28°C at Shuangliu International Airport, driving trader consensus toward 26°C (28.5% implied probability) and 27°C (29.5%). This reflects a warming trend from southerly winds advecting subtropical air into the Sichuan Basin amid spring conditions warmer than the early-April historical average of 22–24°C, tempered by overcast skies potentially capping insolation. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover extent and timing of maximum heating, with 5% rain chances introducing minor variability. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and new model runs expected April 4 could refine the razor-thin 26–27°C split before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы