Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 3?
20°C 99.6%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$76,566 Объем
$76,566 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.6%
21°C <1%
19°C <1%
22°C <1%
$76,566 Объем
$76,566 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
19°C
$13,553 Объем
<1%
20°C
$9,160 Объем
100%
21°C
$9,549 Объем
<1%
22°C
$7,819 Объем
<1%
23°C
$6,068 Объем
<1%
24°C
$6,162 Объем
<1%
25°C
$2,771 Объем
<1%
26°C or higher
$3,192 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$76,566Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$76,566Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 3 (99.7% implied probability), driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of 14–21°C under persistent cloudy skies, with hourly models peaking precisely at 20°C amid light winds and high humidity limiting solar heating. Current morning observations confirm overcast conditions and temperatures around 15°C, aligning with early-spring climatology where Wuhan averages daily highs near 19–22°C, rarely exceeding forecasts by more than 1–2°C without clearing. Model consensus from local and global sources reinforces this, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected afternoon cloud breaks boosting insolation to nudge toward 21°C, or prolonged mist cooling below 19°C; watch airport METAR updates through evening for shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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