Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5, with implied odds clustered around 23–26°C amid competing model outputs. China Meteorological Administration projections via Hong Kong Observatory suggest around 25°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with AccuWeather's 23°C (73°F) high featuring afternoon showers and timeanddate.com's 22°C amid passing clouds—driven by early spring southerly flows and residual frontal moisture from recent rainy days (e.g., April 2 high of 20°C). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability suppressing diurnal heating, potential for stronger warming if high pressure builds, and historical early-April averages of 20–22°C. New GFS/ECMWF runs and CMA updates expected within 48 hours could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 5?
24°C 20%
23°C 19%
26°C 18%
27°C or higher 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
9%
23°C
19%
24°C
20%
25°C
13%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
15%
24°C 20%
23°C 19%
26°C 18%
27°C or higher 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$286 Объем
<1%
18°C
$256 Объем
1%
19°C
$113 Объем
1%
20°C
$143 Объем
2%
21°C
$197 Объем
5%
22°C
$161 Объем
9%
23°C
$191 Объем
19%
24°C
$237 Объем
20%
25°C
$191 Объем
13%
26°C
$273 Объем
18%
27°C or higher
$243 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5, with implied odds clustered around 23–26°C amid competing model outputs. China Meteorological Administration projections via Hong Kong Observatory suggest around 25°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with AccuWeather's 23°C (73°F) high featuring afternoon showers and timeanddate.com's 22°C amid passing clouds—driven by early spring southerly flows and residual frontal moisture from recent rainy days (e.g., April 2 high of 20°C). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability suppressing diurnal heating, potential for stronger warming if high pressure builds, and historical early-April averages of 20–22°C. New GFS/ECMWF runs and CMA updates expected within 48 hours could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Объем
$2,283Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5, with implied odds clustered around 23–26°C amid competing model outputs. China Meteorological Administration projections via Hong Kong Observatory suggest around 25°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with AccuWeather's 23°C (73°F) high featuring afternoon showers and timeanddate.com's 22°C amid passing clouds—driven by early spring southerly flows and residual frontal moisture from recent rainy days (e.g., April 2 high of 20°C). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability suppressing diurnal heating, potential for stronger warming if high pressure builds, and historical early-April averages of 20–22°C. New GFS/ECMWF runs and CMA updates expected within 48 hours could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,283Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 6:16 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 5, with implied odds clustered around 23–26°C amid competing model outputs. China Meteorological Administration projections via Hong Kong Observatory suggest around 25°C under partly cloudy skies, aligning with AccuWeather's 23°C (73°F) high featuring afternoon showers and timeanddate.com's 22°C amid passing clouds—driven by early spring southerly flows and residual frontal moisture from recent rainy days (e.g., April 2 high of 20°C). Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability suppressing diurnal heating, potential for stronger warming if high pressure builds, and historical early-April averages of 20–22°C. New GFS/ECMWF runs and CMA updates expected within 48 hours could sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы