MetService's latest forecast, issued late on April 2, projects a 19°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 3 at Wellington International Airport, driving trader consensus with 67.5% implied probability on that outcome. Northerly winds are advecting warmer maritime air into the region, combined with mainly fine skies turning partly cloudy, enabling solar heating to typical afternoon peaks around 2-4 p.m., though isolated showers could temper extremes. Current morning observations show temperatures near 13-15°C, aligning with this trajectory and yesterday's 16.5°C high at nearby Kelburn. Above the seasonal April average of 16-17°C, the 25% odds on 20°C reflect potential for stronger northerlies or clearer conditions; hourly airport data will clarify as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
19°C 70%
20°C 19%
21°C 2.6%
22°C or higher 2.3%
$88,300 Объем
$88,300 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
18°C
<1%
19°C
70%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 70%
20°C 19%
21°C 2.6%
22°C or higher 2.3%
$88,300 Объем
$88,300 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
18°C
$11,017 Объем
<1%
19°C
$5,393 Объем
70%
20°C
$7,252 Объем
19%
21°C
$6,620 Объем
3%
22°C or higher
$7,602 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late on April 2, projects a 19°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 3 at Wellington International Airport, driving trader consensus with 67.5% implied probability on that outcome. Northerly winds are advecting warmer maritime air into the region, combined with mainly fine skies turning partly cloudy, enabling solar heating to typical afternoon peaks around 2-4 p.m., though isolated showers could temper extremes. Current morning observations show temperatures near 13-15°C, aligning with this trajectory and yesterday's 16.5°C high at nearby Kelburn. Above the seasonal April average of 16-17°C, the 25% odds on 20°C reflect potential for stronger northerlies or clearer conditions; hourly airport data will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Объем
$88,300Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued late on April 2, projects a 19°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 3 at Wellington International Airport, driving trader consensus with 67.5% implied probability on that outcome. Northerly winds are advecting warmer maritime air into the region, combined with mainly fine skies turning partly cloudy, enabling solar heating to typical afternoon peaks around 2-4 p.m., though isolated showers could temper extremes. Current morning observations show temperatures near 13-15°C, aligning with this trajectory and yesterday's 16.5°C high at nearby Kelburn. Above the seasonal April average of 16-17°C, the 25% odds on 20°C reflect potential for stronger northerlies or clearer conditions; hourly airport data will clarify as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$88,300Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
MetService's latest forecast, issued late on April 2, projects a 19°C maximum temperature for Wellington on April 3 at Wellington International Airport, driving trader consensus with 67.5% implied probability on that outcome. Northerly winds are advecting warmer maritime air into the region, combined with mainly fine skies turning partly cloudy, enabling solar heating to typical afternoon peaks around 2-4 p.m., though isolated showers could temper extremes. Current morning observations show temperatures near 13-15°C, aligning with this trajectory and yesterday's 16.5°C high at nearby Kelburn. Above the seasonal April average of 16-17°C, the 25% odds on 20°C reflect potential for stronger northerlies or clearer conditions; hourly airport data will clarify as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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