MetService's latest forecast, issued midday April 3, projects a 19°C maximum temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 4 under mainly fine skies with a slight chance of evening showers and strong northwesterlies easing later, aligning with recent observations of 19.6°C highs amid similar northerly flows on April 1. Trader sentiment favors 20°C at 35.5% implied probability over 19°C at 20.5%, reflecting potential for enhanced warming from downslope northwesterlies—a common feature boosting temperatures above point forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn climate—while 21°C at 15.3% captures upside uncertainty in model ensembles. NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates near-average North Island temperatures under neutral ENSO conditions, with new evening updates from MetService likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 4?
20°C 38%
19°C 21%
21°C 15.4%
18°C 7%
$34,521 Объем
$34,521 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
21%
20°C
38%
21°C
15%
22°C or higher
4%
20°C 38%
19°C 21%
21°C 15.4%
18°C 7%
$34,521 Объем
$34,521 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$5,075 Объем
<1%
13°C
$6,272 Объем
<1%
14°C
$5,937 Объем
<1%
15°C
$3,339 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,233 Объем
1%
17°C
$2,270 Объем
3%
18°C
$2,143 Объем
7%
19°C
$3,039 Объем
21%
20°C
$1,325 Объем
38%
21°C
$2,339 Объем
15%
22°C or higher
$1,810 Объем
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued midday April 3, projects a 19°C maximum temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 4 under mainly fine skies with a slight chance of evening showers and strong northwesterlies easing later, aligning with recent observations of 19.6°C highs amid similar northerly flows on April 1. Trader sentiment favors 20°C at 35.5% implied probability over 19°C at 20.5%, reflecting potential for enhanced warming from downslope northwesterlies—a common feature boosting temperatures above point forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn climate—while 21°C at 15.3% captures upside uncertainty in model ensembles. NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates near-average North Island temperatures under neutral ENSO conditions, with new evening updates from MetService likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
Объем
$34,521Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, issued midday April 3, projects a 19°C maximum temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 4 under mainly fine skies with a slight chance of evening showers and strong northwesterlies easing later, aligning with recent observations of 19.6°C highs amid similar northerly flows on April 1. Trader sentiment favors 20°C at 35.5% implied probability over 19°C at 20.5%, reflecting potential for enhanced warming from downslope northwesterlies—a common feature boosting temperatures above point forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn climate—while 21°C at 15.3% captures upside uncertainty in model ensembles. NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates near-average North Island temperatures under neutral ENSO conditions, with new evening updates from MetService likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$34,521Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued midday April 3, projects a 19°C maximum temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 4 under mainly fine skies with a slight chance of evening showers and strong northwesterlies easing later, aligning with recent observations of 19.6°C highs amid similar northerly flows on April 1. Trader sentiment favors 20°C at 35.5% implied probability over 19°C at 20.5%, reflecting potential for enhanced warming from downslope northwesterlies—a common feature boosting temperatures above point forecasts in Wellington's variable autumn climate—while 21°C at 15.3% captures upside uncertainty in model ensembles. NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates near-average North Island temperatures under neutral ENSO conditions, with new evening updates from MetService likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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