Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds evenly clustered around 27-36°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on cloud cover and convective activity over the Java Sea. BMKG guidance typically projects April highs near the 31-33°C climatological average for the tropical maritime climate, but lingering end-of-rainy-season instability—marked by potential afternoon thunderstorms—could suppress peaks via reduced insolation or evaporative cooling, while urban heat island effects and sea breezes might push toward 34°C+ under clearer skies. Recent BMKG updates note cloudy conditions with 25-33°C ranges in early April, underscoring daily variability; watch tomorrow's model refresh and BMKG bulletin for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Halim Perdanakusuma station data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
28°C 27%
26°C or below 26%
27°C 26%
29°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
26°C or below
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
14%
28°C 27%
26°C or below 26%
27°C 26%
29°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 апр. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$5 Объем
26%
27°C
$0 Объем
26%
28°C
$0 Объем
27%
29°C
$0 Объем
26%
30°C
$0 Объем
26%
31°C
$0 Объем
26%
32°C
$0 Объем
26%
33°C
$0 Объем
26%
34°C
$0 Объем
26%
35°C
$0 Объем
26%
36°C or higher
$5 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds evenly clustered around 27-36°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on cloud cover and convective activity over the Java Sea. BMKG guidance typically projects April highs near the 31-33°C climatological average for the tropical maritime climate, but lingering end-of-rainy-season instability—marked by potential afternoon thunderstorms—could suppress peaks via reduced insolation or evaporative cooling, while urban heat island effects and sea breezes might push toward 34°C+ under clearer skies. Recent BMKG updates note cloudy conditions with 25-33°C ranges in early April, underscoring daily variability; watch tomorrow's model refresh and BMKG bulletin for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Halim Perdanakusuma station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
Объем
$10Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds evenly clustered around 27-36°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on cloud cover and convective activity over the Java Sea. BMKG guidance typically projects April highs near the 31-33°C climatological average for the tropical maritime climate, but lingering end-of-rainy-season instability—marked by potential afternoon thunderstorms—could suppress peaks via reduced insolation or evaporative cooling, while urban heat island effects and sea breezes might push toward 34°C+ under clearer skies. Recent BMKG updates note cloudy conditions with 25-33°C ranges in early April, underscoring daily variability; watch tomorrow's model refresh and BMKG bulletin for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Halim Perdanakusuma station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Jakarta's highest temperature on April 6, with market-implied odds evenly clustered around 27-36°C as global models like GFS and ECMWF diverge on cloud cover and convective activity over the Java Sea. BMKG guidance typically projects April highs near the 31-33°C climatological average for the tropical maritime climate, but lingering end-of-rainy-season instability—marked by potential afternoon thunderstorms—could suppress peaks via reduced insolation or evaporative cooling, while urban heat island effects and sea breezes might push toward 34°C+ under clearer skies. Recent BMKG updates note cloudy conditions with 25-33°C ranges in early April, underscoring daily variability; watch tomorrow's model refresh and BMKG bulletin for shifts ahead of resolution based on official Halim Perdanakusuma station data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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