Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 3?
19°C 54%
20°C 31%
21°C or higher 13.0%
16°C <1%
$115,892 Объем
$115,892 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
54%
20°C
31%
21°C or higher
13%
19°C 54%
20°C 31%
21°C or higher 13.0%
16°C <1%
$115,892 Объем
$115,892 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
16°C
$13,621 Объем
<1%
17°C
$12,113 Объем
<1%
18°C
$16,489 Объем
<1%
19°C
$6,652 Объем
54%
20°C
$6,223 Объем
31%
21°C or higher
$8,458 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Объем
$115,892Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$115,892Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:32 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast for Tokyo on April 3 projects a high of 20°C under clear skies with 0% precipitation probability, fueling trader sentiment for the leading outcome amid light winds favoring daytime solar heating. This edges out 19°C (43%) as global models diverge—JMA's MSM at 17.8°C, ECMWF at 18.2°C, and GFS at 18.5°C—likely underestimating urban heat island effects at Haneda Airport station, the market's resolution source via Wunderground whole-degree readings. Spring high-pressure ridging supports insolation-driven peaks, but sea breeze intrusion or afternoon cloud development could cap temperatures below 20°C, heightening uncertainty in this tight race. Monitor JMA hourly updates for intraday shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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