Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (30%), 22°C (32%), and 23°C or higher (25%), reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge dominating the Kanto region. Recent observations through April 3 show Tokyo daytime highs in the upper teens to low 20s°C, warmer than the early-April historical average of about 17°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild maritime air and strong afternoon solar heating amplified by urban heat island effects. Key differentiators include potential diurnal cloud development or sea-breeze intrusions moderating peaks versus clear skies enabling 23°C+; expect refined JMA updates tomorrow clarifying model spread ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 5 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 5 апреля?
22°C 39%
23°C или выше 32%
21°C 27%
20°C 11%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
27%
22°C
34%
23°C или выше
32%
22°C 39%
23°C или выше 32%
21°C 27%
20°C 11%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
27%
22°C
34%
23°C или выше
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 21°C (30%), 22°C (32%), and 23°C or higher (25%), reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecast models and global ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge dominating the Kanto region. Recent observations through April 3 show Tokyo daytime highs in the upper teens to low 20s°C, warmer than the early-April historical average of about 17°C, driven by southerly winds advecting mild maritime air and strong afternoon solar heating amplified by urban heat island effects. Key differentiators include potential diurnal cloud development or sea-breeze intrusions moderating peaks versus clear skies enabling 23°C+; expect refined JMA updates tomorrow clarifying model spread ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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