Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 24°C high (46%) or 23°C (32%) for Beijing Capital International Airport on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 22°C under cloudy skies and north winds of 16-24 km/h, alongside international models like those implying up to 24°C in extended outlooks. Early spring warming trends, following a mild March with northwest airflow limiting southerly moisture but allowing solar heating during partial clears, position these as leaders against historical early-April averages of 17-20°C. Model discrepancies and intraday cloud variability introduce uncertainty, with official airport observations determining resolution later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 3?
24°C 47.3%
23°C 31%
25°C 9.6%
22°C 9%
$83,339 Объем
$83,339 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
3%
24°C 47.3%
23°C 31%
25°C 9.6%
22°C 9%
$83,339 Объем
$83,339 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 24°C high (46%) or 23°C (32%) for Beijing Capital International Airport on April 3, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting 22°C under cloudy skies and north winds of 16-24 km/h, alongside international models like those implying up to 24°C in extended outlooks. Early spring warming trends, following a mild March with northwest airflow limiting southerly moisture but allowing solar heating during partial clears, position these as leaders against historical early-April averages of 17-20°C. Model discrepancies and intraday cloud variability introduce uncertainty, with official airport observations determining resolution later today.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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