Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 16°C (60%) as London's highest temperature today at London City Airport, closely tracking the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under overcast skies, light rain, and moderate breezes. These market-implied odds reflect ensemble model guidance showing limited solar heating from persistent cloud cover associated with an incoming low-pressure system—Storm Dave, expected Saturday—while a mild southerly airflow prevents sharper cooling. Overnight forecast updates in the past 24 hours have reinforced this outlook, with no major divergences; historical early April averages hover around 13-14°C, making 16°C a mild but plausible peak. Uncertainties remain in any brief clearing, potentially nudging toward 17°C (7%), with real-time observations resolving the market by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on April 3?
Highest temperature in London on April 3?
16°C 58.7%
15°C 28.2%
17°C or higher 9.0%
14°C 4.5%
$121,791 Объем
$121,791 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
28%
16°C
59%
17°C or higher
9%
16°C 58.7%
15°C 28.2%
17°C or higher 9.0%
14°C 4.5%
$121,791 Объем
$121,791 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
28%
16°C
59%
17°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 16°C (60%) as London's highest temperature today at London City Airport, closely tracking the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 15-16°C under overcast skies, light rain, and moderate breezes. These market-implied odds reflect ensemble model guidance showing limited solar heating from persistent cloud cover associated with an incoming low-pressure system—Storm Dave, expected Saturday—while a mild southerly airflow prevents sharper cooling. Overnight forecast updates in the past 24 hours have reinforced this outlook, with no major divergences; historical early April averages hover around 13-14°C, making 16°C a mild but plausible peak. Uncertainties remain in any brief clearing, potentially nudging toward 17°C (7%), with real-time observations resolving the market by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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