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Highest temperature in London on April 4?

Market icon

Highest temperature in London on April 4?

15°C 43%

16°C 38%

17°C or higher 18%

14°C 8%

Polymarket

$46,997 Объем

15°C 43%

16°C 38%

17°C or higher 18%

14°C 8%

Polymarket

$46,997 Объем

7°C or below

$7,085 Объем

<1%

8°C

$3,983 Объем

<1%

9°C

$3,649 Объем

<1%

10°C

$3,175 Объем

<1%

11°C

$5,489 Объем

<1%

12°C

$3,424 Объем

<1%

13°C

$3,926 Объем

1%

14°C

$4,346 Объем

8%

15°C

$4,064 Объем

43%

16°C

$3,602 Объем

38%

17°C or higher

$4,265 Объем

18%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15°C (41.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 4, driven by the Met Office's latest short-range forecasts indicating maximums in the mid-teens Celsius amid variable cloud cover and potential brighter spells during the Easter weekend. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours have trended warmer than earlier March 30 outlooks (13°C under persistent cloud), highlighting reduced shower probabilities (20-50%) and gusty winds moderating to light southerlies, enhancing insolation potential to differentiate 15°C from 16°C or 17°C+. Key uncertainty lies in the extent of afternoon cloud breaks, with historical early April baselines around 13°C but analogs showing 2-4°C boosts from high-pressure ridging; watch this morning's Met Office update and Heathrow observations for final guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$46,997
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 15°C (41.5%) and 16°C (36.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 4, driven by the Met Office's latest short-range forecasts indicating maximums in the mid-teens Celsius amid variable cloud cover and potential brighter spells during the Easter weekend. Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours have trended warmer than earlier March 30 outlooks (13°C under persistent cloud), highlighting reduced shower probabilities (20-50%) and gusty winds moderating to light southerlies, enhancing insolation potential to differentiate 15°C from 16°C or 17°C+. Key uncertainty lies in the extent of afternoon cloud breaks, with historical early April baselines around 13°C but analogs showing 2-4°C boosts from high-pressure ridging; watch this morning's Met Office update and Heathrow observations for final guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$46,997
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in London on April 4?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «15°C» с 43%, за ним следует «16°C» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in London on April 4?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $47K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in London on April 4?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in London on April 4?» — «15°C» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «16°C» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in London on April 4?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.