Latest forecasts from meteorological services including AccuWeather and BBC Weather project Shanghai's high temperature on April 3 at around 16°C, aligning with the market's 87.5% implied probability for that outcome amid heavy cloud cover and persistent rain suppressing solar insolation. Current observations show morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius with moderate precipitation under a low-pressure system over eastern China, limiting daytime warming despite mild southerly winds. Hourly projections peak near 60°F (16°C) in the afternoon, depressed from April climatological averages of 17°C highs. Model consensus is strong, but inherent forecast uncertainty from potential clearing could shift toward 17°C (12.5%); China Meteorological Administration updates will refine through evening resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 3?
16°C 87%
17°C 14%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
$129,463 Объем
$129,463 Объем
16°C
87%
17°C
14%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 87%
17°C 14%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
$129,463 Объем
$129,463 Объем
16°C
87%
17°C
14%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological services including AccuWeather and BBC Weather project Shanghai's high temperature on April 3 at around 16°C, aligning with the market's 87.5% implied probability for that outcome amid heavy cloud cover and persistent rain suppressing solar insolation. Current observations show morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius with moderate precipitation under a low-pressure system over eastern China, limiting daytime warming despite mild southerly winds. Hourly projections peak near 60°F (16°C) in the afternoon, depressed from April climatological averages of 17°C highs. Model consensus is strong, but inherent forecast uncertainty from potential clearing could shift toward 17°C (12.5%); China Meteorological Administration updates will refine through evening resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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