Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 4?
19°C 35%
20°C 29%
18°C 17%
21°C 16%
$17,603 Объем
$17,603 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
17%
19°C
35%
20°C
29%
21°C
16%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 35%
20°C 29%
18°C 17%
21°C 16%
$17,603 Объем
$17,603 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$3,014 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,640 Объем
<1%
15°C
$2,631 Объем
<1%
16°C
$2,744 Объем
1%
17°C
$1,082 Объем
8%
18°C
$823 Объем
17%
19°C
$683 Объем
35%
20°C
$668 Объем
29%
21°C
$1,185 Объем
16%
22°C
$1,234 Объем
5%
23°C or higher
$1,927 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Объем
$17,603Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,603Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models project Beijing's highest temperature on April 4 at around 19–20°C under sunny skies with gentle southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 19°C (36.5% implied probability) and 20°C (25.5%). This positioning stems from late-March stabilization of daytime highs at 20–22°C amid partly cloudy conditions, consistent with early April climatological norms where average highs hover near 20°C on the rising spring trend. Light winds and ample sunshine support these levels, though minor model discrepancies introduce uncertainty around 18–21°C; updated CMA observations and hourly data releases on April 3–4 could refine probabilities further.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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